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NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup Playoff Odds and Probable Placement – The Athletic


Welcome to our NHL Predictions and Probabilities page, where you can find each team’s predicted total points, their probability of making the playoffs, and their odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the Stanley Cup.

Predictions are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, taking into account each team’s projected strength, current health and schedule strength (including opponent strength, venue and break). Each team’s predicted strength is based on the predicted value of players on its roster based on Game Score Valued Added (GSVA) ​​and can be found at the bottom of the article, along with a link to team depth charts with predicted GSVA values ​​for each team player . You can read more about GSVA and the model here.

This page is updated every morning. Click to expand any chart for a larger view.

All projections and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Last updated: January 28, 2021 9:00 am EST

Estimated status

Division opportunities

Playoff Progression


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