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NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup Playoff Odds and Predicted Placements – The Athletic


Welcome to our NHL Prediction and Probability page, where you can find each team’s projected total score, their likelihood of reaching the playoffs, and their chances of advancing into each subsequent round, including winning the Stanley Cup.

The forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, taking into account the projected strength of each team, current health and the strength of the schedule (including opponent strength, venue and rest time). The projected strength of each team is based on the projected value of the players in their lineup based on the Game Score Valued Added (GSVA) ​​and can be found at the end of the article along with a link to team depth charts with projected GSVA values ​​for each player. You can find out more about GSVA and the model here.

This page is updated every morning. Click on any diagram to get a bigger view.

All projections and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Last updated: January 11, 2021 at 9:15 a.m. EST

Estimated placements

Division opportunities

Playoff progress


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