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Betting suggestions for Monday Night time Soccer – Cowboys vs. Giants – ESPN


Week 3 of the NFL season wraps up Monday night time with the New York Giants (-1, 39) internet hosting the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium (ESPN/ABC/ESPN+, 8:15 PM ET).

After an thrilling Sunday of motion, we have now yet one more alternative to wager on skilled football if we so select. So which performs do our analysts?

Betting analysts Joe Fortenbaugh and Anita Marks, fantasy and sports activities betting analysts Eric Moody and Andre Snellings, ESPN analyst Jason Fitz, ESPN Stats & Data’s Seth Walder and Soccer Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz present their prime performs.

Observe: Strains from Caesars Sportsbook except in any other case indicated.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-1, 39)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, MetLife Stadium

The Giants enter Monday night time’s sport in opposition to the Cowboys at 2-0 for first time in six years. What are your ideas on the unfold and the full for this sport? Who do you want?

Schatz: Nicely, I wrote final week in regards to the Giants as one of the worst 2-0 teams prior to now 40 years. We additionally had them ranked useless final in our preseason projections at Soccer Outsiders. Alternatively, we mission the Cowboys because the worst offense within the league now that they’ve Cooper Rush as their beginning quarterback. Nonetheless, I favor Dallas on this sport due to protection. The Cowboys’ protection ranked second within the NFL in DVOA final yr and they’re sixth to date this yr. The Giants’ protection ranks twentieth to date this yr. The Giants are additionally twenty ninth in cross rush win price and don’t have any cornerback depth — an issue with Michael Gallup returning for Dallas on this sport.

Snellings: The Giants are not so good as their 2-0 report, as illustrated by their Twenty seventh-ranked FPI rating of -4.7. Even so, they rank forward of the Cowboys’ -6.2 FPI with out Dak Prescott, which ranks thirtieth within the NFL. The Giants have emphasised their run sport this season, preserving video games shut till they will win on the finish. In the event that they’re capable of replicate this on Monday, the run sport might decrease the Cowboys’ cross rush and hold the stress on Rush to have to provide. The FPI projection has the Giants with a 56.1% likelihood to win outright and an anticipated margin of 1.8 factors. I are inclined to agree, and lean towards the Giants right here.

Fitz: Expectations coming into the season have actually influenced the tone of our conversations about each of those groups. As a result of not a lot was anticipated of the Giants, the hype is beginning to develop for 2-0. Nevertheless, not each 2-0 staff is constructed the identical. The sky was falling for the Cowboys going into Week 2 however their potential to get a win over Cincinnati quieted the doubt … for now. The Cowboys are by no means pretty much as good as anticipated as a result of the expectations are unreasonable. That being mentioned, they’re nonetheless a greater staff than the Giants. The Dallas protection and famous person Micah Parsons can deal with the Giants. Rush may have sufficient time to throw to do what he must. The Cowboys win an in depth one.

Moody: Regardless of having to go together with Rush at quarterback, the Cowboys nonetheless beat the Bengals, indicating they may be simply effective with out Prescott whereas he recovers from his thumb harm. The Giants could also be 2-0, nevertheless it’s been in opposition to poor competitors. The Cowboys are inclined to shine in primetime. Dallas is 5-2 in opposition to the unfold in Monday night time video games since 2015. The Cowboys have hit the over 4 instances. I like Dallas to cowl and exceed the full.

Fortenbaugh: I lean to the Giants, right here, nevertheless it’s only a lean. I perceive the truth that not all 2-0 groups are as nice as their report seems, however you possibly can’t deny the truth that Large Blue is a reliable, organized football staff this season (versus what we have now seen in recent times). Moreover, this can be a low-cost value for a house divisional matchup on Monday Night time Soccer. Dallas was spectacular in final week’s win over Cincinnati, however remember the truth that the Cowboys blew a 17-3 lead and needed to win it on the buzzer. That is additionally Mike McCarthy and firm’s first street journey of the season, so hold that in thoughts as properly.

Marks: In Daniel Jones I belief. By the primary two weeks of the season, Jones has been pressured greater than any quarterback within the NFL. Regardless of that, he’s sporting an over 80% completion share and has been essentially the most correct passer within the NFL. Marinate in that — together with the truth that his main receiver is … Richie James. Who??!? Jones has been capable of transfer the chains along with his legs in key spots to assist the Giants get to 2-0. Giants DC Wink Martindale will get each Kayvon Thibodeaux and Azeez Ojulari again on the line of defense and may have loads in retailer for Mr. Rush. I’ll lay the factors with the G-Males!

Saquon Barkley entered Week 3 main the league in dashing (236 yards). He at present has the third-best odds (+600) to complete the season with essentially the most dashing yards, behind Nick Chubb and Jonathan Taylor. What are your ideas on Barkley’s possibilities to win the dashing title?

Schatz: Even when Barkley is again to his previous self, I do not assume he will get the blocking he must win the dashing title. The Giants rank twentieth in adjusted line yards and thirtieth in Run Block Win Rate by two video games. Barkley has gotten most of his yardage on his personal, and he cannot depend on getting too many 68-yard runs over the course of a 17-game season.

Moody: Barkley has an excellent likelihood of profitable. Earlier than the common season started, he was a dark-horse candidate. Along with wanting wholesome and decided, Barkley is operating powerfully and aggressively. This season, Barkley has averaged 19.5 dashing makes an attempt per sport, and head coach Brian Daboll has proven a willingness to feed him. With the Giants’ a lot improved offensive line, bettors ought to take Barkley significantly.

Snellings: Barkley is off to a wonderful begin toting the rock, and he has the expertise to guide the league, however questions on his offensive line and his historical past of sturdiness would hold me from betting on him at +600. I like each Taylor and Chubb higher to win, and I additionally like Derrick Henry +1400, Joe Mixon +2000 and Javonte Williams +2500 at their odds greater than Barkley at his.

Fitz: I am not prepared to surrender on Taylor. The Colts have had harm points and horrible play from the left sort out place however the Colts know their greatest path to profitable video games in a nasty AFC South is to determine the run. Taylor might not have the massive spotlight reel runs to date that Barkley does, however I imagine much less in these and extra in consistency. We all know the Colts identification and that can solely profit Taylor because the season strikes on.

Fortenbaugh: Move. I really like the way in which Barkley is operating, however he hasn’t precisely confronted the cream of the crop with reference to NFL run defenses. You additionally should issue within the harm issues, because the Penn State product has appeared in simply 17 of New York’s final 35 contests.

Walder: No thanks. I agree with Schatz in regards to the blocking, but in addition I simply do not assume the Giants are excellent. They will be behind in video games and that is going to restrict Barkley’s alternatives. Plus, Barkley has at all times been a little bit of a boom-or-bust runner. The truth that he is had a 68-yard carry so far is sweet, however I anticipate there can be some fallow durations forward.

The Cowboys come into Monday night time with the third-most sacks (8) within the NFL, led by sophomore sensation Micah Parsons. Do you want Parsons to win Defensive Participant of the Yr this season?

Moody: Parsons is the frontrunner for the award, and it is his to lose. This man is highly effective, fast and assaults from all angles and from all positions. Nonetheless, groups know they have to plan for Parsons. He hasn’t been discovered but. Parsons has 15 pass-rush wins this season, essentially the most by any participant within the league. Considered one of his targets this season was to surpass the NFL sack report of twenty-two.5. Parsons at present has 4 sacks coming into Week 3.

Snellings: Sure, I do. Parsons is simply completely different. It was obvious as a rookie, and the truth that he was a rookie might have been the largest think about him not profitable final season. This season, he is off to a good higher begin, final yr’s DPoY T.J. Watt is injured, and Parsons’ potential to play protection at an All-Madden stage whereas opposing offenses appear set to “simple” bodes properly for his possibilities.

Fitz: Yup. Undoubtedly. These awards are half play and half hype. If you find yourself getting the hype each single day that he’s getting proper now, it feels prefer it turns into his award to lose. Given the truth that the Cowboys at all times get eyeballs, persons are seeing an ideal participant who’s enjoying extremely properly. When momentum meets greatness, it is a no-brainer to me.

Fortenbaugh: I would nibble at +325. He is an absolute monster enjoying for the most well-liked franchise within the NFL. Say what you need, however on the subject of the Cowboys, even a 6-11 season will get loads of air time. Parsons can be within the highlight all yr.

Marks: Sure. I mentioned it and put the ticket in earlier than the season started. Parsons is a once-in-a-decade participant, and already has 4 sacks this season. The Cowboys are lastly utilizing him appropriately — as an out of doors linebacker (not inside), permitting him every so often to place his grime within the floor and get after the quarterback.

Walder: I do. Try the win rate chart at edge by two weeks. Parsons is dominating the place in a approach we have actually solely seen from the likes of Aaron Donald. Solely a two-game pattern? Certain, nevertheless it’s on the heels of a rookie season wherein he led the league in cross rush win price. So yeah, I am absolutely shopping for. Parsons is particular.

What’s your greatest wager for Monday night time’s sport?

Schatz: It is Barkley over 22.5 receiving yards (-137). Linebacker isn’t a power of this Giants protection, and I feel Barkley can get into open house a few instances to rack up receiving yards. I anticipate a sport nearer to his six catches for 30 yards in Week 1 in opposition to Tennessee.

Snellings: I like Noah Brown to go over 37.5 whole receiving yards (-113). Gallup and Dalton Schultz are each listed as questionable for Monday night time, however even when each play, Brown simply has clear chemistry with QB Cooper Rush. Brown has averaged 5 receptions for nearly 80 yards within the first two video games, with the overwhelming majority of that manufacturing coming with Rush beneath heart. I anticipate Rush to look Brown’s approach early and infrequently on Monday night time.

Fortenbaugh: Give me Daniel Jones over 18.5 completions (-135). He is averaging 20.8 completions per sport for his profession and 19.5 completions per sport on the season. Past that, Dallas is allowing a mean of 21 completions per sport by the primary two weeks of the 2022 marketing campaign. I feel the Dallas protection takes successful enjoying of their first street sport of the season and, with this line at present sitting with Large Blue as 1-point favorites, it seems to be like we must be handled to a aggressive matchup with each groups throwing the ball late into the fourth quarter.

Marks: The 2 props I like essentially the most are Rush throwing an INT (-115) and Kenny Golladay scoring a TD (+450). As I wrote earlier, Wink Martindale now has the expertise to get uber-creative, and tee up just a few unique seems to be that Rush may have a tough time deciphering. Additionally, name me loopy (and I have been known as worse) however the squeaky wheel will get the grease this week! The Giants are paying Golladay an excessive amount of (4 years, $72 million) for him to solely play on two snaps per sport. Daboll will get him concerned this week.

Walder: That is only a “intestine really feel” play right here however I like beneath 19.5 within the first half (-110). I feel each groups will determine that this can be a winnable sport if they will keep away from errors, take a look at their quarterbacks, and assume one of the simplest ways to keep away from errors is to maintain the ball out of their arms. A heavy floor sport early on from each groups would produce some inefficient offense — and hold the clock transferring.


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